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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wilson's Snipe Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesShorebirds

Wilson's Snipe in Minnesota has surged: up 121% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+121%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
78Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wilson's Snipe Trends in MinnesotaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Wilson's Snipe has surged in Minnesota: up 121% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Wilson's Snipe Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in Minnesota is projected to rise about 67% by 2030 — from 1.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.68–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±79.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+67%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.68–4.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±79.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in Minnesota is projected to rise about 67% by 2030 — from 1.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.68–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±79.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.70.654.7
20272.70.664.7
20282.70.664.7
20292.70.674.7
20302.70.684.7

Wilson's Snipe Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Wilson's Snipe in Minnesota.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lake Bronson5620111979
Greenbush3120251993
Backus1220251969
Bagley1020061995
Badger820181979
Nett Lake820242013
Cromwell720251968
Bemidji719791967
Lude620251978
Erie620171976
Pine River520241970
Mcgregor520251993
Sherburne Nr520251990
Hart Lake420251969
Grygla420161977
Le Roy420192019
Brook Park420181998
Chandler320232015
Princeton320191970
Wigwam Bay320191969
Floodwood320241967
Sherry Lake320221970
Waskish320251978
Mahtowa320231993
Red Lake320251993

Wilson's Snipe Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.