BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wilson's Snipe In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieShorebirds

Wilson's Snipe in Shortgrass Prairie has held roughly steady: up 4% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

+4%Since 1982TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
24Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
43YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wilson's Snipe in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Wilson's Snipe In Shortgrass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.08 (95% range 0.00–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.08Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.2295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±41.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.08 (95% range 0.00–0.22). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19802029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.090.000.23
20260.090.000.23
20270.090.000.23
20280.090.000.22
20290.080.000.22

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Wilson's Snipe in Shortgrass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
NeegrandeCOLORADO31998
MarslandNEBRASKA32019
HudsonCOLORADO22021
BethuneCOLORADO22007
GroverCOLORADO22023
Fort MorganCOLORADO22023
ElbertCOLORADO22017
Murray LakeNEBRASKA22015
Agate 2NEBRASKA22024
Hay SpringsNEBRASKA22019
YoderWYOMING22024
Pine BluffWYOMING21981
KiowaCOLORADO12010
LamarCOLORADO11995
TrincheraCOLORADO11999
CampoCOLORADO11988
HaswellCOLORADO11993
JulesburgCOLORADO12021
KarvalCOLORADO11998
PaxtonNEBRASKA11982
DaltonNEBRASKA11983
AgateNEBRASKA11980
LingleWYOMING12021
CheyenneWYOMING12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.