BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wilson's Plover In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieShorebirds

Wilson's Plover in Gulf Coastal Prairie has edged up: up 13% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+13%Since 1971
10Routes In Region
32Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Wilson's Plover in Gulf Coastal Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Plover in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to fall about 67% by 2028 — from 0.43 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.14 (95% range 0.00–0.33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±49.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-67%Change by 2028
0.14Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.3395% range
±49.2%Backtest error
19692028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.140.000.33
20250.140.000.33
20260.140.000.33
20270.140.000.33
20280.140.000.33

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Wilson's Plover in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
L. Atascosa NwrTEXAS82023
Bayside 3TEXAS22023
Grand IsleLOUISIANA12011
Lag AtascosaTEXAS11994
IndianolaTEXAS12010
Loyola BeachTEXAS12008
Oyster LakeTEXAS12019
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS12022
Bayside 2TEXAS12001
Padre Island PaisTEXAS12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.