BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wilson's Phalarope In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieShorebirds

Wilson's Phalarope in Shortgrass Prairie has risen sharply: up 69% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

+69%Since 1982
40Routes In Region
35Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Wilson's Phalarope has risen sharply in Shortgrass Prairie: up 69% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Phalarope in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 118% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.26 (95% range 0.00–0.67). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1309%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+118%Change by 2029
0.26Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6795% range
±1309%Backtest error
19782029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.260.000.67
20260.260.000.67
20270.260.000.67
20280.260.000.67
20290.260.000.67

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Wilson's Phalarope in Shortgrass Prairie.
NunnCOLORADO292014
LeotiKANSAS202010
BereaNEBRASKA132000
ClaytonvilleTEXAS122015
PanhandleTEXAS122016
BriggsdaleCOLORADO101996
PlymellKANSAS102024
KimballNEBRASKA92015
PantexTEXAS91989
JulesburgCOLORADO82021
HookerOKLAHOMA82015
PritchettCOLORADO72002
WallaceKANSAS62010
DalhartTEXAS52016
AmherstCOLORADO41995
KarvalCOLORADO42017
MaxwellNEW-MEXICO42001
WakaTEXAS41984
YoderWYOMING42023
KiowaCOLORADO32000
EdlerCOLORADO32014
PaxtonNEBRASKA32012
Agate 2NEBRASKA32008
LamarCOLORADO22023
StonehamCOLORADO22021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.