BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-tipped Dove In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsGeneralists

White-tipped Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands has surged: up 672% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

+672%Since 1974TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
23Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
48YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-tipped Dove has surged in Tamaulipan Brushlands: up 672% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-tipped Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 2.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 1.3–5.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.3–5.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±90.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.91.14.7
20263.01.14.8
20273.01.24.9
20283.11.24.9
20293.11.35.0

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording White-tipped Dove in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
SejitaTEXAS182024
George WestTEXAS112024
EncinalTEXAS72010
GuerraTEXAS52023
MillettTEXAS52012
LaredoTEXAS42019
RachalTEXAS22023
Mirando CityTEXAS22018
San YgnacioTEXAS21981
CatarinaTEXAS22010
El SauzTEXAS22023
Catarina 2TEXAS22014
Encinal 2TEXAS22023
Catarina 3TEXAS22023
Millett 2TEXAS22024
Agua NuevaTEXAS12013
ZapataTEXAS11987
KingsvilleTEXAS12024
RandadoTEXAS12015
HondoTEXAS12024
RaymondvilleTEXAS12024
ProgresoTEXAS12005
Cavasara Cr.TEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.