BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-faced Ibis In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsWetland birds

White-faced Ibis in Tamaulipan Brushlands has declined: down 38% on the route-weighted index since 1983.

-38%Since 1983TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
23YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for White-faced Ibis in Tamaulipan Brushlands. See the full index history below.

White-faced Ibis In Tamaulipan Brushlands Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, White-faced Ibis in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 709% by 2030 — from 0.09 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.00–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±402.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+709%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.74Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±402.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-faced Ibis in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 709% by 2030 — from 0.09 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.74 (95% range 0.00–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±402.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19812030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.760.002.7
20270.750.002.7
20280.750.002.7
20290.740.002.7
20300.740.002.6

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording White-faced Ibis in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HeidelbergTEXAS142022
ProgresoTEXAS112009
KingsvilleTEXAS52011
RaymondvilleTEXAS12025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.