Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-faced Ibis In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
White-faced Ibis in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has risen sharply: up 72% on the route-weighted index since 2002.
+72%Since 2002
11Routes In Region
19Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
White-faced Ibis has risen sharply in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 72% on the route-weighted index since 2002.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, White-faced Ibis in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 75% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±177.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-75%Change by 2029
0.33Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±177.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2027 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Port Allen | LOUISIANA | 35 | 2024 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 16 | 2014 |
| Keystone | LOUISIANA | 8 | 2012 |
| Frogmore | LOUISIANA | 7 | 2024 |
| Atchafalaya | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2015 |
| Ramah | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2021 |
| Kraemer | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2010 |
| Mayflower | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2023 |
| Belair | LOUISIANA | 3 | 1991 |
| Shaw | LOUISIANA | 1 | 2024 |
| Larose | LOUISIANA | 1 | 1988 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.