BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-eyed Vireo Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesForest birds

White-eyed Vireo in Arkansas has risen sharply: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+74%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
61Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable White-eyed Vireo Trends in ArkansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-eyed Vireo has risen sharply in Arkansas: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

White-eyed Vireo Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, White-eyed Vireo in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 12 (95% range 9.2–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
12Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
9.2–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-eyed Vireo in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 12 (95% range 9.2–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025128.814
2026128.914
2027129.014
2028129.115
2029129.215

White-eyed Vireo Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording White-eyed Vireo in Arkansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Lockesburg3820192010
Princeton 23520222022
Rupert2920241967
Marshall2920212011
Princeton2820211998
Springhill2720222010
Ashdown2620231967
Old Milo2320241967
Locust Bayou2320231967
Hope2220241967
Stark2120241967
Magazine Mtn2020211993
Dry Fork 22020242024
Nance1920241992
Blakely1819991968
Stephens1820242010
Crowley'S Ridge1820242011
Poyen1720071967
Havana1720212010
Hollywood1620241967
Waldron1420241970
Ozark Nf1420241991
Poyen 21420242008
Dry Fork1320232000
Russell1220212010

White-eyed Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourinebraskanew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.