BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Meadowlark In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionGrassland birds

Western Meadowlark in Boreal Hardwood Transition has fallen sharply: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-64%Since 1968
63Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Western Meadowlark has fallen sharply in Boreal Hardwood Transition: down 64% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Meadowlark in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±120.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±120.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.060.001.3
20260.030.001.3
20270.000.001.2
20280.000.001.2
20290.000.001.2

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Western Meadowlark in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
GreenbushMINNESOTA672024
WarroadMINNESOTA202024
PhillipsWISCONSIN51990
Lake CityMICHIGAN41979
Traverse CtyMICHIGAN41975
BackusMINNESOTA41996
LudeMINNESOTA42022
Walloon LakeMICHIGAN31986
Pine RiverMINNESOTA32003
BemidjiMINNESOTA31980
DebsMINNESOTA32024
Iron RiverWISCONSIN32021
Mille LacsMINNESOTA21996
FloodwoodMINNESOTA22015
Little ForkMINNESOTA22019
MahtowaMINNESOTA22008
McgregorMINNESOTA22002
BrainerdMINNESOTA22024
BayfieldWISCONSIN21998
Amnicon FallsWISCONSIN22018
CavourWISCONSIN22015
OntonagonMICHIGAN11985
BerglandMICHIGAN11989
BootjackMICHIGAN11998
Ned LakeMICHIGAN11995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.