Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Gull In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Western Gull in Northern Pacific Rainforest has collapsed: down 96% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-96%Since 1970
19Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Western Gull has collapsed in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 96% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Western Gull in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.23 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–6.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±141.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–6.595% range
±141.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 6.9 |
| 2026 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 6.8 |
| 2027 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 6.7 |
| 2028 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 6.5 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.5 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Bodega Bay | CALIFORNIA | 101 | 2021 |
| Taholah | WASHINGTON | 47 | 2022 |
| Wedderburn | OREGON | 15 | 2024 |
| Laytonville | CALIFORNIA | 12 | 1991 |
| Fish Rock | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2014 |
| Crescent Cty | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2022 |
| Hauser | OREGON | 4 | 1984 |
| Hazel Camp | OREGON | 4 | 2022 |
| Honeydew | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2017 |
| Redwood N.P. | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1999 |
| Navarro | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1998 |
| Glasgow | OREGON | 1 | 2024 |
| Nicolai Mtn. | OREGON | 1 | 2017 |
| Coquille | OREGON | 1 | 2016 |
| Warm Beach | WASHINGTON | 1 | 1993 |
| Bunker Hill | WASHINGTON | 1 | 1989 |
| Ilwaco | WASHINGTON | 1 | 2023 |
| Raymond | WASHINGTON | 1 | 2013 |
| Raymond 2 | WASHINGTON | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.