Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Grebe In Northern Rockies
Western Grebe in Northern Rockies has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1988.
-82%Since 1988
39Routes In Region
38Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Western Grebe has collapsed in Northern Rockies: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1988.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Western Grebe in Northern Rockies is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±166.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.595% range
±166.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
Routes In Northern Rockies
| Carter 2 | WYOMING | 19 | 2024 |
| Sparta | OREGON | 12 | 2000 |
| Midvale | WYOMING | 8 | 1996 |
| Tensleep | WYOMING | 6 | 1997 |
| Crane Creek | IDAHO | 4 | 2009 |
| Hebgen Lake | MONTANA | 4 | 2023 |
| Ethete | WYOMING | 4 | 2023 |
| Cabarton | IDAHO | 3 | 2023 |
| Neponset Res | UTAH | 3 | 2018 |
| Rock River | WYOMING | 3 | 2022 |
| Rawlins 2 | WYOMING | 3 | 2022 |
| Mivoden | IDAHO | 2 | 2022 |
| Beaverhead | MONTANA | 2 | 2018 |
| Red Rock | MONTANA | 2 | 1994 |
| Randolph | UTAH | 2 | 2005 |
| E. Bear Lake | UTAH | 2 | 2006 |
| Clark | WYOMING | 2 | 2001 |
| Alpine | WYOMING | 2 | 2022 |
| Mtn View | WYOMING | 2 | 2024 |
| Flamin Gorge | WYOMING | 2 | 2010 |
| Naples | IDAHO | 1 | 1993 |
| Sawtooth Cty | IDAHO | 1 | 2014 |
| Featherville | IDAHO | 1 | 2022 |
| Libby Dam | MONTANA | 1 | 1986 |
| Kalispell | MONTANA | 1 | 2003 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.