BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Cattle-Egret In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertWetland birds

Western Cattle-Egret in Chihuahuan Desert has collapsed: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

-93%Since 1994
9Routes In Region
25Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Western Cattle-Egret has collapsed in Chihuahuan Desert: down 93% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 100% by 2027 — from 0.07 in 2022 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±373.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2027
0.00Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.4495% range
±373.5%Backtest error
19922027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20230.000.000.44
20240.000.000.44
20250.000.000.44
20260.000.000.44
20270.000.000.44

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Western Cattle-Egret in Chihuahuan Desert.
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO22019
ColumbusNEW-MEXICO22013
RodeoNEW-MEXICO11994
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO12013
MesillaNEW-MEXICO11999
LongfellowTEXAS12015
Bear MtnTEXAS11992
Sierra BlancTEXAS12022
CanutilloTEXAS12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.