Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Cattle-Egret In Coastal California
Western Cattle-Egret in Coastal California has surged: up 256% on the route-weighted index since 1984.
+256%Since 1984
15Routes In Region
31Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Western Cattle-Egret has surged in Coastal California: up 256% on the route-weighted index since 1984.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Coastal California is projected to stay roughly flat through 2021, near 0.10 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±116.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2021
0.10Projected 2021 index
0.00–1.195% range
±116.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2018 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2019 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2020 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2021 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
Routes In Coastal California
| Arvin | CALIFORNIA | 13 | 2015 |
| Zamora | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2008 |
| Orland | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2013 |
| Tranquillity | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2001 |
| Atwater | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2003 |
| Westley | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2005 |
| Bakersfield | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2004 |
| San Ysidro | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1992 |
| Hollister | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1993 |
| Oroville | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2000 |
| Buena Vista | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1996 |
| Pennington | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1990 |
| Moreno | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1982 |
| Mark West | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2016 |
| Staten Is. | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2014 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.