BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Cattle-Egret In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

All regionsNew England / Mid-Atlantic CoastWetland birds

Western Cattle-Egret in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has collapsed: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-89%Since 1968
51Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Western Cattle-Egret has collapsed in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: down 89% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±289.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±289.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.001.1
20260.000.001.1
20270.000.001.1
20280.000.001.1
20290.000.001.1

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Western Cattle-Egret in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
Snow HillMARYLAND161976
MelitotaMARYLAND152018
VillasNEW-JERSEY151981
Pr FrederickMARYLAND131991
HughesvilleMARYLAND121996
Lowes XrdsDELAWARE101986
White StoneVIRGINIA101973
MatthewsMARYLAND91980
HongaMARYLAND72011
DavidsnvilleMARYLAND62008
Ocean CityNEW-JERSEY61993
HolleyvilleDELAWARE51983
WilmingtonDELAWARE42013
Bethany BchDELAWARE41978
EastonMARYLAND41990
MadisonMARYLAND42016
Grove NeckMARYLAND41996
Cape May ChNEW-JERSEY41992
Mt PleasantDELAWARE32015
DoverDELAWARE31987
ElktonMARYLAND32024
MardelaMARYLAND31980
BerlinMARYLAND32022
Cape NeddickMAINE21978
Tall TimbersMARYLAND22014

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.