BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Western Cattle-Egret In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyWetland birds

Western Cattle-Egret in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

19×Since 1969
61Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Western Cattle-Egret has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 19× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 45% by 2029 — from 22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 32 (95% range 8.4–55). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±96%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+45%Change by 2029
32Projected 2029 index
8.4–5595% range
±96%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025317.254
2026317.554
2027317.855
2028328.155
2029328.455

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Western Cattle-Egret in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
RamahLOUISIANA1702024
River RoadLOUISIANA1372024
Morgan CityLOUISIANA1081986
FrogmoreLOUISIANA982024
KeystoneLOUISIANA622013
MayflowerLOUISIANA532024
Rayville 2LOUISIANA512024
Port AllenLOUISIANA472024
RayvilleLOUISIANA452008
Eagle LakeMISSISSIPPI432024
CarlisleLOUISIANA421988
CommerceMISSISSIPPI421993
KraemerLOUISIANA392024
Tchula 2MISSISSIPPI391994
BerwickLOUISIANA372018
GillettARKANSAS302016
BrousvilleLOUISIANA222024
WilsonARKANSAS211996
ShawLOUISIANA212024
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI212024
LaroseLOUISIANA181992
South BendARKANSAS172023
BelairLOUISIANA152024
EudoraARKANSAS132016
DelhiLOUISIANA132021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.