Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Western Cattle-Egret In Shortgrass Prairie
Western Cattle-Egret in Shortgrass Prairie has edged down: down 15% on the route-weighted index since 1997.
-15%Since 1997
15Routes In Region
27Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Western Cattle-Egret in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Western Cattle-Egret in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 314% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.55 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±282.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+314%Change by 2029
0.55Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±282.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2027 | 0.53 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
| Friona | TEXAS | 40 | 2017 |
| Claytonville | TEXAS | 23 | 2022 |
| Circle | TEXAS | 7 | 2018 |
| Pantex | TEXAS | 7 | 2024 |
| Post | TEXAS | 6 | 2019 |
| Panhandle | TEXAS | 6 | 2022 |
| Lamesa | TEXAS | 4 | 2022 |
| Waka | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Channing | TEXAS | 2 | 1999 |
| Floydada | TEXAS | 2 | 2017 |
| Yoder | WYOMING | 2 | 2016 |
| Paxton | NEBRASKA | 1 | 1993 |
| Hooker | OKLAHOMA | 1 | 2015 |
| Dougherty | TEXAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Plains | TEXAS | 1 | 2006 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.