Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Warbling Vireo In Coastal California
Warbling Vireo in Coastal California has surged: up 118% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+118%Since 1970
79Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Warbling Vireo has surged in Coastal California: up 118% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Warbling Vireo in Coastal California is projected to rise about 76% by 2029 — from 2.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.2 (95% range 3.3–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+76%Change by 2029
5.2Projected 2029 index
3.3–7.095% range
±56.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 6.8 |
| 2026 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 6.9 |
| 2027 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 6.9 |
| 2028 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 6.9 |
| 2029 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 7.0 |
Routes In Coastal California
| Waterman Gap | CALIFORNIA | 50 | 2024 |
| Point Reyes | CALIFORNIA | 47 | 2023 |
| Pescadero | CALIFORNIA | 24 | 2024 |
| Carmel Val | CALIFORNIA | 21 | 2024 |
| Fairfax | CALIFORNIA | 16 | 2024 |
| Stonyford | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2018 |
| Ono | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2011 |
| Calpella | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 1986 |
| Glen Ellen | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2004 |
| Lockwood | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2024 |
| Santa Ynez | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2019 |
| Mt Baldy | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Bartlett Sps | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2017 |
| Angelus Oaks | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2017 |
| Glen Ellen 3 | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Sisquoc | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2014 |
| Adelaida | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 1999 |
| Tres Pinos 2 | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2010 |
| Rumsey | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2008 |
| Anza | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1981 |
| Sanger | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2021 |
| Elizabeth Lk | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1985 |
| Yolla Bolly | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2018 |
| Colma | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1971 |
| Tres Pinos | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2001 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.