Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Warbling Vireo In Shortgrass Prairie
Warbling Vireo in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 82% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
+82%Since 1973
40Routes In Region
51Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Warbling Vireo has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 81% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Warbling Vireo in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to rise about 118% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.03–0.29). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+118%Change by 2029
0.16Projected 2029 index
0.03–0.2995% range
±63.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.28 |
| 2026 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.28 |
| 2027 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.28 |
| 2028 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.28 |
| 2029 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.29 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
| Kiowa | COLORADO | 2 | 1998 |
| Wildhorse L | COLORADO | 2 | 2022 |
| Julesburg | COLORADO | 2 | 2021 |
| Elbert | COLORADO | 2 | 2022 |
| Wallace | KANSAS | 2 | 1999 |
| Crawford | NEBRASKA | 2 | 2019 |
| Pine Ridge | NEBRASKA | 2 | 2023 |
| Yoder | WYOMING | 2 | 2024 |
| Pinneo | COLORADO | 1 | 2014 |
| Fleming | COLORADO | 1 | 2006 |
| Last Chance | COLORADO | 1 | 2001 |
| Boyero | COLORADO | 1 | 1992 |
| Lamar | COLORADO | 1 | 2010 |
| Hudson | COLORADO | 1 | 2016 |
| Adams Co. | COLORADO | 1 | 2015 |
| Crowley | COLORADO | 1 | 2007 |
| Villegreen | COLORADO | 1 | 2000 |
| Amherst | COLORADO | 1 | 1995 |
| Neegrande | COLORADO | 1 | 2007 |
| Fort Morgan | COLORADO | 1 | 2024 |
| Doyle Bridge 2 | COLORADO | 1 | 2023 |
| Arsenal | COLORADO | 1 | 2015 |
| Arsenal 2 | COLORADO | 1 | 2022 |
| Lakin | KANSAS | 1 | 2014 |
| Ruleton | KANSAS | 1 | 2004 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.