Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Warbling Vireo In Sierra Nevada
Warbling Vireo in Sierra Nevada has surged: up 97% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+97%Since 1971
40Routes In Region
55Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Warbling Vireo has surged in Sierra Nevada: up 97% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Warbling Vireo in Sierra Nevada is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 8.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 10 (95% range 6.8–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+20%Change by 2029
10Projected 2029 index
6.8–1495% range
±21.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10.0 | 6.5 | 14 |
| 2026 | 10 | 6.6 | 14 |
| 2027 | 10 | 6.6 | 14 |
| 2028 | 10 | 6.7 | 14 |
| 2029 | 10 | 6.8 | 14 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Little Truckee | CALIFORNIA | 25 | 2023 |
| Genesee | CALIFORNIA | 24 | 2024 |
| Woodfords | CALIFORNIA | 20 | 2024 |
| Riverton | CALIFORNIA | 17 | 2023 |
| Meadow Valley | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 2024 |
| Tuolumne Grove | CALIFORNIA | 14 | 2024 |
| Johnsville | CALIFORNIA | 13 | 2024 |
| Cottage Spgs | CALIFORNIA | 11 | 1968 |
| Dardanelle | CALIFORNIA | 11 | 2019 |
| Lumberyard | CALIFORNIA | 11 | 2024 |
| Westville | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Butte Meadow | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2014 |
| Strawberry | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2019 |
| Higgins Corn | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2021 |
| Pollock Pines | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2024 |
| Kings Canyon | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Tahoe Nf | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 1994 |
| Placerville | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Eagle Lake | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Lakeshore | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Goumaz | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2011 |
| Downieville | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Chaos Crater | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2019 |
| Paxton | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Pine Mountain | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2017 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.