Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Warbling Vireo In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
Warbling Vireo in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has surged: up 197% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+197%Since 1968
85Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Warbling Vireo has surged in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain: up 197% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Warbling Vireo in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 5.8 (95% range 4.0–7.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+5%Change by 2029
5.8Projected 2029 index
4.0–7.595% range
±6.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 7.4 |
| 2026 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 7.4 |
| 2027 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 7.5 |
| 2028 | 5.7 | 4.0 | 7.5 |
| 2029 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 7.5 |
Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
| Harmonsburg | PENNSYLVANIA | 24 | 2023 |
| Watertown | NEW-YORK | 23 | 2012 |
| Castile | NEW-YORK | 19 | 2024 |
| Churchville | NEW-YORK | 19 | 2024 |
| Duanesburg | NEW-YORK | 18 | 2024 |
| Nashville | NEW-YORK | 17 | 2018 |
| Orleans | NEW-YORK | 15 | 2024 |
| Macdougall | NEW-YORK | 13 | 2024 |
| Byron | NEW-YORK | 13 | 2024 |
| Hinesburg | VERMONT | 13 | 1994 |
| St Johnsburg | NEW-YORK | 12 | 2024 |
| Salem | NEW-YORK | 12 | 2024 |
| Balmat | NEW-YORK | 12 | 2008 |
| Cayuga | NEW-YORK | 11 | 2024 |
| Crescent | NEW-YORK | 11 | 2024 |
| Oneida | NEW-YORK | 10 | 2010 |
| Rushville | NEW-YORK | 9 | 2024 |
| West Bangor | NEW-YORK | 9 | 1999 |
| Pulaski | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| Naples | NEW-YORK | 8 | 2024 |
| Pittsfield | OHIO | 8 | 2024 |
| Ferris Crnrs | PENNSYLVANIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Ballston Lk | NEW-YORK | 6 | 1995 |
| E Youngstown | NEW-YORK | 6 | 2023 |
| N Victory 2 | NEW-YORK | 6 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.