Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Warbling Vireo In Boreal Hardwood Transition
Warbling Vireo in Boreal Hardwood Transition has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-74%Since 1968
104Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Warbling Vireo has fallen sharply in Boreal Hardwood Transition: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Warbling Vireo in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 55% by 2029 — from 0.48 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.00–0.74). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-55%Change by 2029
0.22Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.7495% range
±24.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
| 2026 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.83 |
| 2027 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.81 |
| 2028 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.78 |
| 2029 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.74 |
Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition
| Greenbush | MINNESOTA | 12 | 2024 |
| Pleasant Val | MICHIGAN | 7 | 1997 |
| Cathro | MICHIGAN | 7 | 2016 |
| Herron | MICHIGAN | 7 | 2016 |
| Eagle River | WISCONSIN | 7 | 2010 |
| Tahquamenon | MICHIGAN | 6 | 2005 |
| Wausaukee | WISCONSIN | 6 | 2010 |
| Bear Lake | MICHIGAN | 5 | 2024 |
| Hubbard Lake | MICHIGAN | 5 | 1996 |
| Riggsville | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2019 |
| Harrietta | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2019 |
| Walloon Lake 2 | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2024 |
| Mayfield | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2022 |
| Cass Lake | MINNESOTA | 4 | 1995 |
| Bashaw | WISCONSIN | 4 | 2022 |
| Walloon Lake | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2004 |
| Floodwood | MINNESOTA | 3 | 2012 |
| Bena | MINNESOTA | 3 | 1967 |
| Bemidji | MINNESOTA | 3 | 1980 |
| Waskish | MINNESOTA | 3 | 1982 |
| Tamarac Nwr | MINNESOTA | 3 | 2002 |
| Shanagolden | WISCONSIN | 3 | 1986 |
| Gibbs City | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2013 |
| Muskallonge | MICHIGAN | 2 | 1977 |
| Lake City | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.