Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Vesper Sparrow In Piedmont
Vesper Sparrow in Piedmont has collapsed: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-99%Since 1968
34Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Vesper Sparrow has collapsed in Piedmont: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Vesper Sparrow in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.65). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2896.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6595% range
±2896.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Jacobus | PENNSYLVANIA | 3 | 1994 |
| Emmitsburg | MARYLAND | 2 | 2024 |
| Eklo | MARYLAND | 2 | 2001 |
| Randallstown | MARYLAND | 2 | 1979 |
| Sandbrook | NEW-JERSEY | 2 | 1969 |
| Aspers | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 1984 |
| Gatchelville | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 1990 |
| Olney | MARYLAND | 1 | 2008 |
| Warfieldsbrg | MARYLAND | 1 | 2006 |
| Pleasant Val | MARYLAND | 1 | 2010 |
| Bachman Mill | MARYLAND | 1 | 2017 |
| Fowblesburg | MARYLAND | 1 | 2011 |
| Upper Xrds | MARYLAND | 1 | 1992 |
| Theodore | MARYLAND | 1 | 1994 |
| Ijamsville | MARYLAND | 1 | 2015 |
| Bald Friar | MARYLAND | 1 | 1996 |
| Pottersville | NEW-JERSEY | 1 | 1980 |
| Ephrata | PENNSYLVANIA | 1 | 1981 |
| Mt Gretna | PENNSYLVANIA | 1 | 1989 |
| Pottstown | PENNSYLVANIA | 1 | 1966 |
| Labott | PENNSYLVANIA | 1 | 1983 |
| West Grove | PENNSYLVANIA | 1 | 1967 |
| Mount Joy | PENNSYLVANIA | 1 | 2010 |
| Mt Gretna 2 | PENNSYLVANIA | 1 | 2015 |
| Brick Tavern | PENNSYLVANIA | 1 | 1996 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.