BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Veery In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsForest birds

Veery in Appalachian Mountains has increased: up 35% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+35%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
212Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in Appalachian Mountains. See the full index history below.

Veery In Appalachian Mountains Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 22% by 2030 — from 2.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 2.7–4.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+22%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.7–4.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 22% by 2030 — from 2.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.5 (95% range 2.7–4.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.42.74.1
20273.42.74.1
20283.42.74.1
20293.42.74.2
20303.52.74.2

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Veery in Appalachian Mountains.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mawr GlenPENNSYLVANIA392025
LinvilleNORTH-CAROLINA302025
KyleNORTH-CAROLINA292024
Iron Mountain 3VIRGINIA282023
Iron Mtn.VIRGINIA272011
Iron Mountain 2VIRGINIA242013
PoyntellePENNSYLVANIA232025
High PointNEW-JERSEY212025
Mountain Lk.VIRGINIA212018
DownsvilleNEW-YORK192019
RoulettePENNSYLVANIA192021
StarlightPENNSYLVANIA191999
Laurel HillPENNSYLVANIA192025
Big MeadowsVIRGINIA192025
EllentonPENNSYLVANIA182025
Starlight 2PENNSYLVANIA182025
S Berne 2NEW-YORK172025
JenningsMARYLAND162025
GreentownPENNSYLVANIA162024
Shenandoa NpVIRGINIA162025
Glade RunWEST-VIRGINIA162002
OneontaNEW-YORK152025
CoventryvileNEW-YORK142023
OxfordNEW-YORK141976
AnsoniaPENNSYLVANIA142025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.