BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsForest birds

Veery in Appalachian Mountains has increased: up 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+37%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
212Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in Appalachian Mountains. See the full index history below.

Veery In Appalachian Mountains Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.5 (95% range 2.8–4.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.8–4.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.5 (95% range 2.8–4.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20253.42.74.1
20263.42.74.2
20273.52.74.2
20283.52.84.2
20293.52.84.2

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Veery in Appalachian Mountains.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LinvilleNORTH-CAROLINA382024
KyleNORTH-CAROLINA292024
SusquehannaPENNSYLVANIA282024
Iron Mountain 3VIRGINIA282023
Mawr GlenPENNSYLVANIA272024
Iron Mtn.VIRGINIA272011
PoyntellePENNSYLVANIA242024
Starlight 2PENNSYLVANIA242024
Iron Mountain 2VIRGINIA242013
GladyWEST-VIRGINIA242024
High PointNEW-JERSEY232024
OneontaNEW-YORK232024
Laurel HillPENNSYLVANIA232024
Marsh HillPENNSYLVANIA212024
AnsoniaPENNSYLVANIA212024
Mountain Lk.VIRGINIA212018
EllentonPENNSYLVANIA202024
Wild CreekPENNSYLVANIA202024
DownsvilleNEW-YORK192019
RoulettePENNSYLVANIA192021
StarlightPENNSYLVANIA191999
CanadensisPENNSYLVANIA192024
Broad Mtn.PENNSYLVANIA192024
Shenandoa NpVIRGINIA192024
CorbettsvileNEW-YORK182024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.