BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Veery in Prairie Hardwood Transition has edged up: up 17% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+17%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
122Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Veery In Prairie Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 1.2–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.2–2.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 2.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 1.2–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.91.22.5
20261.91.22.5
20271.91.22.5
20281.91.22.5
20291.91.22.5

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Veery in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
MatherWISCONSIN412023
Brook ParkMINNESOTA332024
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA212024
CumberlandWISCONSIN212024
Pigeon CreekWISCONSIN162024
HatfieldWISCONSIN131998
UnityWISCONSIN122024
LoraineWISCONSIN112021
PrincetonWISCONSIN112024
StetsonvilleWISCONSIN112024
No BradleyMICHIGAN102024
EvergreenMINNESOTA82024
ClintonvilleWISCONSIN72024
Buena VistaWISCONSIN72024
MerrillWISCONSIN62024
SaxevilleWISCONSIN62024
GreshamWISCONSIN62024
NashvilleMICHIGAN52024
MontereyMICHIGAN52024
Chippewa Lk.MICHIGAN52024
Allegan WmaMICHIGAN52019
GlenwoodMINNESOTA52019
AshbyMINNESOTA52021
WeyerhauserWISCONSIN52024
BravoMICHIGAN42023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.