BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesForest birds

Veery in Badlands and Prairies has risen sharply: up 57% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

+57%Since 1978TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
18Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
47YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Veery has risen sharply in Badlands and Prairies: up 57% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

Veery In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.28 (95% range 0.11–0.46). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+65%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.28Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.11–0.4695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±38.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.28 (95% range 0.11–0.46). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19752029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.280.100.45
20260.280.100.45
20270.280.110.45
20280.280.110.45
20290.280.110.46

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Veery in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Moskee 2WYOMING122021
MoskeeWYOMING82001
Moskee 3WYOMING82024
SundanceWYOMING32024
HighwoodMONTANA22019
FlatwillowMONTANA22007
Two DotMONTANA12019
ShawmutMONTANA11997
Reed PointMONTANA12012
Flatwillow 2MONTANA12023
Miles CityMONTANA12019
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA11980
EnglewoodSOUTH-DAKOTA12006
Long DrawSOUTH-DAKOTA12024
Wind Cave NpSOUTH-DAKOTA12006
DaytonWYOMING12009
MayoworthWYOMING11982
HampshireWYOMING11995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.