BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Veery In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestForest birds

Veery in Atlantic Northern Forest has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-55%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
155Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Veery has fallen sharply in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Veery In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 44% by 2030 — from 7.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.4 (95% range 0.33–8.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-44%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.33–8.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±31.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 44% by 2030 — from 7.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 4.4 (95% range 0.33–8.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.41.39.4
20275.11.19.2
20284.90.828.9
20294.60.588.7
20304.40.338.4

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Veery in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dexter LakeNEW-YORK331975
WatervilleVERMONT321980
St DavidMAINE292005
Ft FairfieldMAINE272005
WaiteMAINE261977
Crawford NotNEW-HAMPSHIRE261975
HardwickVERMONT262024
WashburnMAINE242005
FletcherVERMONT232025
GaysvilleVERMONT222025
SabattisNEW-YORK211983
BentonMAINE201980
NorthfieldMAINE201981
LudlowMAINE171998
StacyvilleMAINE172025
MontereyMASSACHUSETTS172025
HighmarketNEW-YORK172025
Otisfield GrMAINE152015
Turner 2MAINE152025
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS152016
SheffieldMASSACHUSETTS152022
HancockMASSACHUSETTS152015
WytopitlockMAINE142025
ChesterfieldMASSACHUSETTS142025
ManchesterMAINE131995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.