BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestForest birds

Veery in Atlantic Northern Forest has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-55%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
155Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Veery has fallen sharply in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Veery In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 48% by 2029 — from 8.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.5 (95% range 0.41–8.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-48%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.41–8.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±24%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 48% by 2029 — from 8.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.5 (95% range 0.41–8.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.41.49.5
20265.21.29.2
20274.90.919.0
20284.70.668.7
20294.50.418.5

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Veery in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dexter LakeNEW-YORK331975
WatervilleVERMONT321980
St DavidMAINE292005
HighmarketNEW-YORK292024
Ft FairfieldMAINE272005
WaiteMAINE261977
Crawford NotNEW-HAMPSHIRE261975
HardwickVERMONT262024
WashburnMAINE242005
MontereyMASSACHUSETTS222024
KasoagNEW-YORK212024
SabattisNEW-YORK211983
BentonMAINE201980
NorthfieldMAINE201981
ChesterfieldMASSACHUSETTS202024
MarlowNEW-HAMPSHIRE182024
FletcherVERMONT182024
LudlowMAINE171998
CanterburyNEW-HAMPSHIRE162024
St JohnsburyVERMONT162024
Otisfield GrMAINE152015
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS152016
SheffieldMASSACHUSETTS152022
HancockMASSACHUSETTS152015
DegrasseNEW-YORK152024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.