BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Veery in Boreal Hardwood Transition has held roughly steady: up 8% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+8%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
126Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in Boreal Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Veery In Boreal Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 48% by 2029 — from 18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.2 (95% range 3.6–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-48%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
9.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.6–1595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±48.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 48% by 2029 — from 18 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.2 (95% range 3.6–15). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.6%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20259.74.115
20269.63.915
20279.43.815
20289.33.715
20299.23.615

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Veery in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sherry LakeMINNESOTA762022
GlendaleMINNESOTA682024
Crane LakeMINNESOTA662024
Hart LakeMINNESOTA552024
WaskishMINNESOTA482024
BackusMINNESOTA462024
BigforkMINNESOTA462024
BemidjiMINNESOTA441980
GilmanWISCONSIN422024
Weirgor SpringsWISCONSIN422024
MahtowaMINNESOTA402023
Red LakeMINNESOTA392024
MinongWISCONSIN392024
Union TwpWISCONSIN392024
Tamarac NwrMINNESOTA382024
LockportMINNESOTA362024
MellenWISCONSIN362024
BenaMINNESOTA341977
Wigwam BayMINNESOTA332023
BabbittMINNESOTA332023
Nett LakeMINNESOTA322024
FlambeauWISCONSIN322024
Mille LacsMINNESOTA292024
ChisholmMINNESOTA292024
ChaffeyWISCONSIN272024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.