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Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Upland Sandpiper In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGrassland birds

Upland Sandpiper in Atlantic Northern Forest has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-74%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
34YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Upland Sandpiper in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2016, near 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1118.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2016TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.11Projected 2016 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.2795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±1118.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Upland Sandpiper in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2016, near 0.11 (95% range 0.00–0.27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1118.3%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662016
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20120.110.000.27
20130.110.000.27
20140.110.000.27
20150.110.000.27
20160.110.000.27

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Upland Sandpiper in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CummingtonMASSACHUSETTS31987
HardwickVERMONT31980
East TroyMAINE21983
DebloisMAINE21999
GreensboroVERMONT21978
WarrenMAINE11986
EastbrookMAINE11987
HancockMAINE12011
Grnd Lk StrmMAINE11990
WashburnMAINE11995
BoundaryMAINE11996
Ft FairfieldMAINE12005
HighmarketNEW-YORK11997
Number FourNEW-YORK11993
LandgroveVERMONT11966
FletcherVERMONT12000

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.