BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Tree Swallow In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasAerial insectivores

Tree Swallow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has increased: up 48% on the route-weighted index since 1993.

+48%Since 1993
16Routes In Region
22Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Tree Swallow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Tree Swallow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 285% by 2028 — from 0.06 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.21 (95% range 0.00–0.59). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+285%Change by 2028
0.21Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.5995% range
±90.2%Backtest error
19692028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.190.000.57
20250.200.000.57
20260.200.000.58
20270.210.000.58
20280.210.000.59

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Tree Swallow in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
CaledoniaTEXAS52010
Chandler 2TEXAS52011
StarkARKANSAS32023
CrossroadsTEXAS32013
StampsARKANSAS21997
AshdownARKANSAS22018
BlancoOKLAHOMA21995
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA22021
Town BluffTEXAS22008
EastonTEXAS22013
HollywoodARKANSAS11969
Coal HillARKANSAS12021
MassardARKANSAS11998
NanceARKANSAS12016
Mer RougeLOUISIANA12002
AthensTEXAS12008

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.