Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Surf Scoter In Northern Pacific Rainforest
Surf Scoter in Northern Pacific Rainforest has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1986.
-35%Since 1986
12Routes In Region
27Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Surf Scoter in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Surf Scoter in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 78% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.00–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±645.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-78%Change by 2029
0.23Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.995% range
±645.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
| 2027 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
| 2028 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 1.9 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Juneau | ALASKA | 51 | 2023 |
| Haines | ALASKA | 49 | 2024 |
| Juneau Alt | ALASKA | 34 | 1986 |
| Sitka (Short) | ALASKA | 32 | 1992 |
| Zimovia Strt | ALASKA | 20 | 2024 |
| Sitka | ALASKA | 16 | 1997 |
| Petersburg | ALASKA | 12 | 1987 |
| Mitkof Isle | ALASKA | 11 | 1998 |
| Yakutat | ALASKA | 10 | 2024 |
| Zarembo | ALASKA | 10 | 2012 |
| Skagway | ALASKA | 9 | 1994 |
| Ketchikan | ALASKA | 1 | 2017 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.