Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Summer Tanager In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Summer Tanager in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 310% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+310%Since 1968
76Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Summer Tanager has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 310% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Summer Tanager in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 1.3–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.5%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-23%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
1.32.495% range
±38.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.71.22.3
20261.81.22.3
20271.81.22.4
20281.81.22.4
20291.81.32.4

Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast

Routes recording Summer Tanager in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast.
CokesburyMARYLAND262024
TruhartVIRGINIA212024
WalkersVIRGINIA172023
BrandonVIRGINIA162024
QuinbyVIRGINIA152024
Furnace TownMARYLAND112024
Island CreekMARYLAND102024
Tall TimbersMARYLAND72014
Forest GroveMARYLAND72023
St. George'S IslandMARYLAND72017
BerlinMARYLAND72024
Port RoyalVIRGINIA72019
White StoneVIRGINIA72024
PomonkeyMARYLAND62024
MadisonMARYLAND62024
Holleyville 2DELAWARE52024
HongaMARYLAND52024
NewarkMARYLAND52024
WalnutMARYLAND52024
Milton 2DELAWARE42017
Pepperbox 2DELAWARE42024
PomfretMARYLAND42024
NottinghamMARYLAND42024
IndiantownMARYLAND42014
GloucesterVIRGINIA42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.