BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Summer Tanager In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

Summer Tanager in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 172% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+172%Since 1969
64Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Summer Tanager has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 171% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Summer Tanager in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 3.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 1.6–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029
2.6Projected 2029 index
1.6–3.695% range
±26.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.41.43.4
20262.51.43.5
20272.51.53.5
20282.51.53.6
20292.61.63.6

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Summer Tanager in Oaks and Prairies.
HeyburnOKLAHOMA172024
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA132024
CayugaTEXAS112024
NobleOKLAHOMA102024
Massey LakeTEXAS102024
SkiatookOKLAHOMA92019
OsageTEXAS92024
DecaturTEXAS92024
SeldenTEXAS72024
Wills PointTEXAS72023
Oak GroveTEXAS61999
FanninTEXAS62023
BeggsOKLAHOMA52023
GrafordTEXAS52019
CottonwoodTEXAS52024
Oak Grove 2TEXAS52024
CarlosTEXAS52024
Thornton 3TEXAS42024
ComancheTEXAS42024
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA32007
ChoctawOKLAHOMA32021
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA31977
TatumsOKLAHOMA32024
Arenosa CrkTEXAS32024
Glen RoseTEXAS32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.