BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Steller's Jay In Great Basin

All regionsGreat BasinGeneralists

Steller's Jay in Great Basin has risen sharply: up 63% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+63%Since 1970
98Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Steller's Jay has risen sharply in Great Basin: up 63% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Steller's Jay in Great Basin is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.81–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+15%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.81–1.995% range
±23.1%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.40.801.9
20261.40.801.9
20271.40.801.9
20281.40.811.9
20291.40.811.9

Routes In Great Basin

Routes recording Steller's Jay in Great Basin.
Barnes ValOREGON231987
MacdoelCALIFORNIA212019
KendallWASHINGTON202024
LeavenworthWASHINGTON132024
Mt HoodOREGON122024
LakeviewOREGON122024
SnowdenWASHINGTON112024
Crowder FlatCALIFORNIA102019
Tractor FlatIDAHO101994
Medicine Mtn.CALIFORNIA92021
GlacierWASHINGTON92024
Wizard FallsOREGON82024
RimrockWASHINGTON82024
BartleCALIFORNIA72021
NubieberCALIFORNIA62018
Davis CreekCALIFORNIA62024
HackamoreCALIFORNIA62010
Bly 2OREGON62024
SistersOREGON62024
NewhalemWASHINGTON62024
ConcreteWASHINGTON62024
Cascade RivWASHINGTON62006
LikelyCALIFORNIA52024
HawthorneNEVADA52001
BlyOREGON52001

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.