BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Steller's Jay In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Steller's Jay in Chihuahuan Desert has increased: up 28% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

+28%Since 1978
5Routes In Region
43Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Steller's Jay in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Steller's Jay in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 70% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.40 (95% range 0.00–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-70%Change by 2029
0.40Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.795% range
±61.6%Backtest error
19752029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.500.001.8
20260.470.001.8
20270.450.001.8
20280.420.001.8
20290.400.001.7

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Steller's Jay in Chihuahuan Desert.
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO382024
CarrizozoNEW-MEXICO12015
Capitan Mtn.NEW-MEXICO12010
PinonNEW-MEXICO12016
Bear MtnTEXAS12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.