BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Steller's Jay In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalGeneralists

Steller's Jay in Sierra Madre Occidental has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+3%Since 1970
23Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Steller's Jay in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Steller's Jay in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to rise about 33% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.3 (95% range 3.0–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+33%Change by 2029
5.3Projected 2029 index
3.0–7.795% range
±15.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.22.97.6
20265.32.97.6
20275.32.97.6
20285.33.07.7
20295.33.07.7

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Steller's Jay in Sierra Madre Occidental.
Happy JackARIZONA362024
SprucedaleARIZONA352023
ReserveNEW-MEXICO252023
Mormon LakeARIZONA161975
FlagstaffARIZONA142022
PortalARIZONA122024
AlpineARIZONA112023
WilliamsARIZONA102019
Forest LakesARIZONA102024
PinetopARIZONA102022
BlueARIZONA81991
Mt. GrahamARIZONA82023
Emory PassNEW-MEXICO82024
MaineARIZONA62024
PrescottARIZONA32022
Aztec PeakARIZONA21978
PatagoniaARIZONA21968
Tonto Vill.ARIZONA22019
SunizonaARIZONA11983
Carr MtnARIZONA12008
RuckerARIZONA12003
Vicks PeakNEW-MEXICO12021
MagdalenaNEW-MEXICO12003

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.