BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Steller's Jay In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

Steller's Jay in Shortgrass Prairie has declined: down 48% on the route-weighted index since 1999.

-48%Since 1999
4Routes In Region
27Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Steller's Jay in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Steller's Jay in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 43% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-43%Change by 2029
0.03Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1095% range
±61.3%Backtest error
19952029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.040.000.11
20260.040.000.11
20270.040.000.10
20280.040.000.10
20290.030.000.10

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Steller's Jay in Shortgrass Prairie.
ElbertCOLORADO52024
KiowaCOLORADO12002
Kiowa 2COLORADO12023
NinaviewCOLORADO11995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.