Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Song Sparrow In Sierra Madre Occidental
Song Sparrow in Sierra Madre Occidental has increased: up 38% on the route-weighted index since 1984.
+38%Since 1984
10Routes In Region
40Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Song Sparrow in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Song Sparrow in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.16 (95% range 0.00–0.41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-42%Change by 2029
0.16Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4195% range
±69%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| 2026 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| 2027 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| 2028 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
| 2029 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.41 |
Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental
| Cutter | ARIZONA | 3 | 2014 |
| Carr Mtn | ARIZONA | 3 | 2024 |
| Blue | ARIZONA | 1 | 1987 |
| Pomerene | ARIZONA | 1 | 2024 |
| Patagonia | ARIZONA | 1 | 2024 |
| Maine | ARIZONA | 1 | 2003 |
| Skull Valley | ARIZONA | 1 | 2015 |
| Tonto Vill. | ARIZONA | 1 | 2019 |
| Redington | ARIZONA | 1 | 2017 |
| Sprucedale | ARIZONA | 1 | 2007 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.