BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Short-billed Gull In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestWetland birds

Short-billed Gull in Northern Pacific Rainforest has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

-47%Since 1982
28Routes In Region
44Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Short-billed Gull in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Short-billed Gull in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 23% by 2029 — from 0.32 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.25 (95% range 0.00–2.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-23%Change by 2029
0.25Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.495% range
±19.6%Backtest error
19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.350.002.5
20260.330.002.5
20270.300.002.5
20280.270.002.4
20290.250.002.4

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Short-billed Gull in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
SewardALASKA1321992
Juneau AltALASKA831986
PetersburgALASKA481987
Alpenglow (Short)ALASKA182012
JuneauALASKA172013
SkagwayALASKA162023
Sitka (Short)ALASKA151992
CordovaALASKA142024
Moose PassALASKA121992
KetchikanALASKA92022
Mitkof IsleALASKA92012
HainesALASKA52024
YakutatALASKA42024
HopeALASKA42021
Zimovia StrtALASKA42018
Harlequin L.ALASKA42018
Elmendorf (Short)ALASKA41984
Thorne BayALASKA32012
Copper RiverALASKA32011
Stikine RiverALASKA32021
CraigALASKA22017
Thompson PasALASKA12023
Sheep MtnALASKA12014
SitkaALASKA12024
Whale PassALASKA12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.