BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 3 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Short-billed Gull In BCR 3

All regionsBCR 3Wetland birds

Short-billed Gull in BCR 3 has collapsed: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

-92%Since 1995
3Routes In Region
24Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Short-billed Gull has collapsed in BCR 3: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Short-billed Gull in BCR 3 is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.25 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±478%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.895% range
±478%Backtest error
19932029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.003.8
20260.000.003.8
20270.000.003.8
20280.000.003.8
20290.000.003.8

Routes In BCR 3

Routes recording Short-billed Gull in BCR 3.
Dietrich CmpALASKA12023
Galbraith L.ALASKA12013
Red DogALASKA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.