BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Sharp-shinned Hawk In Piedmont

All regionsPiedmontGeneralists

Sharp-shinned Hawk in Piedmont has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-55%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
65Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
45YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Sharp-shinned Hawk has fallen sharply in Piedmont: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Sharp-shinned Hawk In Piedmont Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.03Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±70.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±70.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.030.000.08
20260.030.000.08
20270.030.000.08
20280.030.000.08
20290.030.000.08

Routes In Piedmont

Routes recording Sharp-shinned Hawk in Piedmont.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Croton 2NEW-JERSEY22019
YoungsvilleNORTH-CAROLINA22017
ChathamPENNSYLVANIA22003
GladysVIRGINIA22018
MillervilleALABAMA12012
Liberty CityALABAMA11990
Nixburg 2ALABAMA12009
CrestGEORGIA12005
MaxeysGEORGIA12014
HollonvilleGEORGIA12001
BaldwinGEORGIA11970
HiramGEORGIA11999
StockbridgeGEORGIA11999
RutledgeGEORGIA12002
JulietteGEORGIA12011
WhitesburgGEORGIA11992
Ball GroundGEORGIA12019
RolandGEORGIA12010
CandlerGEORGIA12009
Piedmont NwrGEORGIA12003
Bachman MillMARYLAND11976
EkloMARYLAND12006
SandbrookNEW-JERSEY12007
PottersvilleNEW-JERSEY12001
SaxapahawNORTH-CAROLINA11976

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.