BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Sharp-shinned Hawk In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Sharp-shinned Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain has declined: down 26% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-26%Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
42Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
34YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Sharp-shinned Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Sharp-shinned Hawk In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2024, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.02). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2024TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2024 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±52.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Sharp-shinned Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2024, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.02). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672024
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20200.010.000.02
20210.010.000.02
20220.010.000.02
20230.010.000.02
20240.010.000.02

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Sharp-shinned Hawk in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Alabama PtALABAMA22000
ColumbiaMISSISSIPPI21974
CokesburyNORTH-CAROLINA21996
HumboldtTENNESSEE22010
St FlorianALABAMA11984
HowardALABAMA11992
LibertyALABAMA11995
RiderwoodALABAMA12002
LindenALABAMA12000
WallsboroALABAMA12002
SouthALABAMA11994
LathamALABAMA11978
MillryALABAMA11989
WedgeworthALABAMA12003
WhitehallALABAMA11996
Rock ChapelALABAMA12003
ElbertaALABAMA11990
EufaulaALABAMA12000
CuthbertGEORGIA11996
GuytonGEORGIA11971
NashvilleGEORGIA11991
FinleysonGEORGIA11991
ShilohKENTUCKY11982
Lake MaryMISSISSIPPI11987
BeverlyMISSISSIPPI11975

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.