BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Sandhill Crane In Great Basin

All regionsGreat BasinWetland birds

Sandhill Crane in Great Basin has surged: up 133% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+133%Since 1971TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
98Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
55YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Sandhill Crane has surged in Great Basin: up 133% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Sandhill Crane in Great Basin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.1 (95% range 0.06–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+1%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.06–2.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±14.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Sandhill Crane in Great Basin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.1 (95% range 0.06–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.10.112.1
20261.10.102.1
20271.10.082.1
20281.10.072.1
20291.10.062.1

Routes In Great Basin

Routes recording Sandhill Crane in Great Basin.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HenryIDAHO541983
Ruby ValleyNEVADA322001
MacdoelCALIFORNIA262019
MerrillOREGON262022
Ruby Valley 2NEVADA222024
Fish LakeOREGON192024
CedarvilleCALIFORNIA182024
LeadoreIDAHO152024
PrestonIDAHO122023
BlitzenOREGON121980
DorrisCALIFORNIA112019
BatesIDAHO72023
LikelyCALIFORNIA62024
HackamoreCALIFORNIA62010
PicaboIDAHO62021
Dobbin CreekNEVADA61972
MinervaNEVADA62024
Modoc Point 2OREGON62024
CraneOREGON62005
Crooked Riv.OREGON62024
SheavilleOREGON62022
BakerIDAHO52024
Majors PlaceNEVADA52024
PrincetonOREGON51985
BlyOREGON52001

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.