Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Ruby-throated Hummingbird In Boreal Hardwood Transition
Ruby-throated Hummingbird in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 306% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+306%Since 1968
118Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Ruby-throated Hummingbird has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 306% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Ruby-throated Hummingbird in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 33% by 2029 — from 0.83 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.85–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+33%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.85–1.395% range
±18%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.79 | 1.3 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.81 | 1.3 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.82 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.84 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.85 | 1.3 |
Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition
| Rib Lake | WISCONSIN | 8 | 2024 |
| Union Twp | WISCONSIN | 7 | 2024 |
| Phillips | WISCONSIN | 6 | 2024 |
| Ontonagon | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2019 |
| Herman | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2013 |
| Pine River | MINNESOTA | 4 | 2003 |
| Popple River | WISCONSIN | 4 | 2024 |
| Hollister | WISCONSIN | 4 | 2019 |
| Ned Lake | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2024 |
| Ishpeming | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2021 |
| Raco | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2024 |
| Beaver Lake | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2011 |
| Big Island Lake | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2009 |
| Jordan | MINNESOTA | 3 | 2022 |
| Iron River | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2024 |
| Couderay | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2019 |
| Exeland | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2022 |
| Washington I | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2024 |
| Weirgor Springs | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2019 |
| Bootjack | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2023 |
| Crystal Fls | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2024 |
| Gibbs City | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2024 |
| Imp Lake | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2019 |
| Hart Lake | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2015 |
| Floodwood | MINNESOTA | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.