Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Ruby-crowned Kinglet In Badlands and Prairies
Ruby-crowned Kinglet in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1975.
11×Since 1975
20Routes In Region
51Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Ruby-crowned Kinglet has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Ruby-crowned Kinglet in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 212% by 2029 — from 0.84 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 0.24–5.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±224.6%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+212%Change by 2029
2.6Projected 2029 index
0.24–5.095% range
±224.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.5 | 0.09 | 4.9 |
| 2026 | 2.5 | 0.13 | 4.9 |
| 2027 | 2.6 | 0.17 | 4.9 |
| 2028 | 2.6 | 0.20 | 5.0 |
| 2029 | 2.6 | 0.24 | 5.0 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Black Fox | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 57 | 2017 |
| Hill City | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 55 | 2013 |
| Long Draw | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 34 | 2024 |
| Englewood | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 28 | 2021 |
| Maynard Coulee | MONTANA | 23 | 2024 |
| Rochford | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 15 | 2018 |
| Norbeck | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 13 | 2002 |
| Moskee 2 | WYOMING | 8 | 2019 |
| Elk Mountain | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 7 | 2004 |
| Sundance | WYOMING | 5 | 2023 |
| Roubaix Lk | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 1991 |
| Silver City | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2012 |
| Moskee | WYOMING | 3 | 2000 |
| Custer | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2024 |
| Meadowdale | WYOMING | 2 | 1995 |
| Reed Point | MONTANA | 1 | 2004 |
| Hazelrodt | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2016 |
| Lightning Cr | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2010 |
| Dayton | WYOMING | 1 | 2021 |
| Gvnt Valley | WYOMING | 1 | 2003 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.