Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Roseate Spoonbill In Gulf Coastal Prairie
Roseate Spoonbill in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 148% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+148%Since 1969
41Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Roseate Spoonbill has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 148% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Roseate Spoonbill in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 46% by 2029 — from 4.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.0 (95% range 1.4–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±310.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+46%Change by 2029
7.0Projected 2029 index
1.4–1395% range
±310.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.6 | 1.00 | 12 |
| 2026 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 12 |
| 2027 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 12 |
| 2028 | 6.9 | 1.3 | 12 |
| 2029 | 7.0 | 1.4 | 13 |
Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie
| Maurice | LOUISIANA | 30 | 2024 |
| Richard | LOUISIANA | 22 | 2024 |
| Ltl Chenier 2 | LOUISIANA | 22 | 2010 |
| Woodlawn | LOUISIANA | 20 | 2021 |
| Esther | LOUISIANA | 15 | 2024 |
| Winnie | TEXAS | 14 | 2019 |
| Forked Island | LOUISIANA | 13 | 2024 |
| Loyola Beach | TEXAS | 12 | 2009 |
| Forked Island 2 | LOUISIANA | 10 | 2011 |
| Hackberry 2 | LOUISIANA | 9 | 2024 |
| Creole | LOUISIANA | 8 | 1987 |
| Bayside | TEXAS | 8 | 2003 |
| Sabine Nwr | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2002 |
| Ville Platte | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2019 |
| Bayside 2 | TEXAS | 4 | 2000 |
| Goliad Prairie | TEXAS | 4 | 2016 |
| Kaplan | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2022 |
| Petronila | TEXAS | 3 | 2021 |
| Hinkles Fer | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Indianola | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Oyster Lake | TEXAS | 3 | 2021 |
| Port Acres | TEXAS | 3 | 2023 |
| Moon Lake 2 | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Ltl Chenier | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2018 |
| Sabine Nwr 2 | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2014 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.