BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Roseate Spoonbill In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaWetland birds

Roseate Spoonbill in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 95% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

+95%Since 1974
43Routes In Region
42Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Roseate Spoonbill has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 95% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Roseate Spoonbill in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 77% by 2029 — from 0.55 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.13 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±313.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-77%Change by 2029
0.13Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.695% range
±313.7%Backtest error
19702029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.170.001.6
20260.160.001.6
20270.150.001.6
20280.140.001.6
20290.130.001.6

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Roseate Spoonbill in Peninsular Florida.
ScottsmoorFLORIDA122024
SandyFLORIDA122015
Sunniland GrFLORIDA102003
Sandy 2FLORIDA92017
Wildernes PkFLORIDA92012
Merritt Island 2FLORIDA82014
Devils GardnFLORIDA62017
Winter GardnFLORIDA52011
CroomFLORIDA52005
WebbFLORIDA52024
Pleasant GrFLORIDA42008
Merritt IslFLORIDA42011
ChildsFLORIDA32013
Pennywash CrFLORIDA32009
FlamingoFLORIDA32017
Holey LandFLORIDA32024
Plantation KFLORIDA21991
Boca RatonFLORIDA21982
Indiantown 2FLORIDA22023
Vero BeachFLORIDA22016
Shawano 2FLORIDA22011
Card SoundFLORIDA22015
ChassahowitzFLORIDA22015
San AntonioFLORIDA12005
Polk CityFLORIDA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.