BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ring-necked Pheasant In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGrassland birds

Ring-necked Pheasant in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has declined: down 48% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-48%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
96Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Ring-necked Pheasant in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 66% by 2029 — from 9.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 15 (95% range 4.9–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±100.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+66%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.9–2695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±100.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025165.727
2026165.527
2027165.326
2028165.126
2029154.926

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Ring-necked Pheasant in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
WakitaOKLAHOMA802016
LeovilleKANSAS792018
BeloitKANSAS792003
JewellKANSAS532005
RexfordKANSAS502024
BartleyNEBRASKA502024
KanopolisKANSAS482024
HamptonNEBRASKA422024
MisslerKANSAS392019
Ash ValleyKANSAS372019
GoveKANSAS362022
SusankKANSAS352022
ChapmanKANSAS341981
CovertKANSAS342024
StrattonNEBRASKA342024
HaysKANSAS332014
Liberty 2NEBRASKA332007
DaltonKANSAS322024
LoganKANSAS282022
AlbertKANSAS252024
JamestownKANSAS252024
MinneapolisKANSAS242019
Beloit 2KANSAS242018
GrayKANSAS232019
SurpriseNEBRASKA232024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.