BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Ring-necked Pheasant In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGame birds

Ring-necked Pheasant in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-42%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
97Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Ring-necked Pheasant in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Ring-necked Pheasant In Central Mixed Grass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 15 (95% range 4.6–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±85.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
15Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.6–2695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±85.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 15 (95% range 4.6–26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±85.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026165.426
2027165.226
2028165.026
2029154.826
2030154.626

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Ring-necked Pheasant in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HamptonNEBRASKA802025
WakitaOKLAHOMA802016
LeovilleKANSAS792018
BeloitKANSAS792003
LoganKANSAS752025
CovertKANSAS732025
JewellKANSAS532005
DaltonKANSAS522025
BartleyNEBRASKA522025
CulbertsonNEBRASKA452025
PhillipsburgKANSAS422025
MisslerKANSAS392019
Ash ValleyKANSAS372019
GoveKANSAS362022
RexfordKANSAS362025
Crescent LkNEBRASKA362025
SusankKANSAS352022
ChapmanKANSAS341981
HaysKANSAS332014
Liberty 2NEBRASKA332007
Wheeler CoNEBRASKA312025
SurpriseNEBRASKA292025
KennedyNEBRASKA292025
BerwetKANSAS272025
Jewell 2KANSAS252025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.