BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ring-necked Pheasant In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGrassland birds

Ring-necked Pheasant in Badlands and Prairies has increased: up 30% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+30%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
106Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Ring-necked Pheasant in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Badlands and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 23 (95% range 14–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-2%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
23Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
14–3295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±9.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Badlands and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 23 (95% range 14–32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025231332
2026231432
2027231432
2028231432
2029231432

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Ring-necked Pheasant in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA4322024
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA1812024
CarsonNORTH-DAKOTA1412024
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA1192024
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA792024
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA792024
GolvaNORTH-DAKOTA642023
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA612015
IsabelSOUTH-DAKOTA612015
HayesSOUTH-DAKOTA602024
LindsayMONTANA562024
ForsythMONTANA542023
OttumwaSOUTH-DAKOTA522022
Ft YatesNORTH-DAKOTA512004
LacreekSOUTH-DAKOTA512023
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA482019
Fort PierreSOUTH-DAKOTA462024
LodgepoleSOUTH-DAKOTA462024
Eagle ButteSOUTH-DAKOTA452015
HighwoodMONTANA442024
SolenNORTH-DAKOTA432024
ChamberlainSOUTH-DAKOTA412011
FlatwillowMONTANA392008
PowdervilleMONTANA392024
Glen UllinNORTH-DAKOTA382022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.