BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Reddish Egret In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainWetland birds

Reddish Egret in Southeastern Coastal Plain has collapsed: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1981.

-78%Since 1981TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
31YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Reddish Egret in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Reddish Egret In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Reddish Egret in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2016, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.02). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2016TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2016 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±21.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Reddish Egret in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to stay roughly flat through 2016, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.02). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662016
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20120.000.000.02
20130.000.000.02
20140.000.000.02
20150.000.000.02
20160.000.000.02

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Reddish Egret in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Ft Waltn BchFLORIDA21966
Dauphin IsALABAMA11990
Alabama PtALABAMA11986
Dauphin Is 2ALABAMA12011
Port St JoeFLORIDA12001
SteinhatcheeFLORIDA11995
Santa RosaFLORIDA11997
St Vincent IFLORIDA12009

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.