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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-eyed Vireo Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesForest birds

Red-eyed Vireo in Minnesota has risen sharply: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+74%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
91Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Red-eyed Vireo Trends in MinnesotaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-eyed Vireo has risen sharply in Minnesota: up 74% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Red-eyed Vireo Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Red-eyed Vireo in Minnesota is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 21 (95% range 15–27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+1%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
21Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
15–2795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-eyed Vireo in Minnesota is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 21 (95% range 15–27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026201426
2027201426
2028201426
2029211527
2030211527

Red-eyed Vireo Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Red-eyed Vireo in Minnesota.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Jordan8920251993
Hart Lake8320251967
Babbitt8020251994
Sherry Lake7820221969
Bena7619771967
Lockport7420251967
Blackduck6920222004
Sawbill Lndg6820251973
Tamarac Nwr6820241991
Nebish6720251982
Crane Lake6320251969
Cass Lake6220161980
Bigfork5320251993
Glendale5220251993
Cohasset5120221973
Wigwam Bay4720231967
Chisholm4620242019
Hovland4420251973
Bemidji4319801967
Red Lake4320251993
Mahtowa4220231993
Waskish4120251978
Nett Lake4020242013
Debs3920251969
Lude3920251978

Red-eyed Vireo Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.